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January 2015

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

Global economic growth continues to make slow progress, with diverging growth paths and policy reactions more apparent as 2014 came to a close. The year ended with crude oil prices at a five-year low, with other commodity prices weakening, the US dollar continuing to strengthen and most capital markets’ volatility increasing. Volatility has been exacerbated by geopolitical factors, with Russia barred from attempting to obtain any IMF support after the proxy war in eastern Ukraine.

Oil consumers globally are due for a USD1,500bn infusion via a positive supply shock from sub-USD60/b oil in 2015. Product prices are racing downwards and granting the global aviation and shipping industries, each, cost relief of an estimated USD200m a day. Similarly, end-users such as farmers and fertilizer manufacturers will enjoy a boon from lower diesel and energy prices. Yet, this is hardly a win-win game. Producers and hydrocarbon sectors globally suffer; Venezuela is on the brink already. There will be a second round of effects via trade: already, for example, South Korean companies have seen new Middle Eastern construction contracts grind to a halt.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

India

The country struggles with high inflation and a tight monetary policy.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: India.pdf

Portugal

A boost in private consumption help the economy recover to marginal growth.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Portugal.pdf

Uruguay

The President-elect faces a challenging economic environment.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Uruguay.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking for different countires?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local D&B Office.

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