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October 2015

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

We are becoming increasingly concerned about the prospects for 2016 on the back of continuing weakness in Europe, and slowing growth in the emerging markets, while US growth prospects are set to disappoint. Drivers of growth are being curtailed as governments adhere to fiscal austerity, households have yet to resume the levels of consumption experienced in the years to 2008 and business investment is on hold due to high levels of uncertainty. This is being fed by the on-going volatility in the global capital (as evident in the past months’ capital flows out of emerging markets), currency (the Brazilian real has another hit a record low against the US dollar) and commodity markets, which rebounded slightly in September after hitting a six-year low in August.

The volatility is being driven by concerns over the extent of the slowdown in China, and the reaction of policy-makers in Beijing to the problems. In addition, markets are still unclear about the timing and pace of the interest rates rises in the US, following the Federal Reserve’s September decision to maintain its ultra-low policy rate. We still expect the rate to follow a shallow upward path, to reach just 1.0% at the end of 2016.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Taiwan

The economy is set to deteriorate despite the government's mini-stimulus.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Taiwan.pdf

India

An expansion in investment and industry is tempered by pressures on rural consumption.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: India.pdf

Greece

Syriza is re-elected but political uncertainty lingers.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Greece.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local D&B Office.

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