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May 2017

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

Our global risk trend indicator remains at stable, while we are currently forecasting real GDP growth of 2.7% in 2017 against an estimated 2.3% in 2016. Political concerns remain high, although these seem to have abated slightly for all major economies asides from the UK. In particular, the protectionist rhetoric of the Trump campaign has yet to materialise in full, with the NAFTA treaty now set to be renegotiated rather than ripped up. The victory of Emmanuel Macron in France’s presidential election reinforces the impression that the European electorate has halted its drift towards anti-EU parties.

Two further issues continue to cloud the outlook for business in 2017. The first is oil price uncertainty ahead of June, when the OPEC production agreement ends. Saudi Arabia wants to roll the cuts over for at least another few months, but questions remain over compliance to the agreement by the parties involved, and hence the downside range for oil prices. The second uncertainty is more far-reaching. If economic growth gathers pace as our forecasts suggest, the normalisation of monetary policy outside the US still raises questions as to how central banks will sell their huge asset piles, and how the financial sector will react.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Argentina

Unions lead a 24-hour strike as wage talks with the government break down.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Argentina.pdf

France

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades France's country risk rating as Emmanuel Macron is elected president.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: France.pdf

Iran

The presidential election in May will be fought by six candidates, with a reformist expected to win.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Iran.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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