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February 2016

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

We estimate that global growth slowed in 2015 to 2.4% from 2.6% the previous year: the joint weakest level since the contraction in 2009. Although, we are forecasting its recovery in 2016 back to 2.6%, risks remain on the downside as a possible downward spiral is created by second-round shocks from commodity price collapses and related asset price falls. The falls in global stock markets in early Q1 show that uncertainty is pervasive, curtailing business confidence and investment, which could add to market volatility. Capital markets are concerned about the outlook for stock, bond and house prices, which have experienced such strong rises since the start of the unprecedented post-crisis monetary easing programmes worth close to USD60trn.

A number of threats to a series of economies are arising amid divergent central bank action, the strong US dollar, near-zero growth in Chinese industrial sectors, and weak commodity prices, in particular oil prices. Furthermore, the potential for rising local and US interest rates, allied to uncertainty in FX markets, is causing concern in relation to both sovereign and corporate debt, especially in vulnerable emerging economies.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Nigeria

The slump in crude prices could drive marginal producers out of business.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Nigeria.pdf

Spain

The economy expands at its fastest rate in seven years.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Spain.pdf

Trinidad & Tobago

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Trinidad and Tobago's country risk rating as the economy contracts.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Trinidad & Tobago.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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