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April 2017

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

The global economy continues to record solid expansion as measured by various PMIs. The euro-zone’s IHS Markit PMI reached 56.7 in March – its highest level in six-years. Meanwhile, the US manufacturing Markit PMI weakened slightly in February from its 22-month high in January, a pattern followed by the J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing & Services PMI. The forward-looking indicators suggest stronger global growth in 2017 on the back of improved business conditions. We are currently forecasting global output growth to improve from an estimated 2.3% in 2016 to 2.7% in 2017.

Although the parliamentary election in The Netherlands saw the populist candidate defeated, political uncertainty continues to weigh on the outlook in a number of advanced countries. The overall policy direction of the Trump administration still lacks clarity, and markets in the US have weakened as the initial euphoria over the result fades and as splits within the Republican party over health deepen. Other concerns revolve around the outcome of the Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU, and around other elections in major European countries, which could impact the future of the euro zone and EU.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Germany

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades its rating outlook for Germany due to growing optimism, both economically and politically
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Germany.pdf

USA

The Republican Party's majority does not guarantee smooth policy passage.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: USA.pdf

Vietnam

Officials show concern over exports' heavy dependence on foreign direct investment.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Vietnam.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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