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April 2016

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

The headwinds facing the global economy, although still considerable, abated slightly in March, which should reduce market volatility (although we expect bouts to occur periodically into 2017). In particular, modified expectations of the number of interest rate rises by the US Federal Reserve in 2016 have seen upward pressure on the US dollar ease. In addition, the commodity slump appears to have bottomed out, while central banks, particularly in Europe and Japan, continue with supportive monetary policies. Furthermore, real wages are rising in most advanced countries, improving purchasing power. However, this is not having a uniform impact on consumption, with households paying down debt and/or increasing savings.

Meanwhile, the growth picture remains mixed. In 2016, real GDP growth in the US will be lower than was forecast in January, but will still be above 2.0%. In Europe, growth will remain anaemic at 1.7%, while China’s will slow from 6.9% in 2015 to 6.0% in 2016. The picture from the other emerging markets is diverse, with Brazil and Russia both expected to contract in 2016, while India will see growth consolidate.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

France

New data paint a largely bleak picture of France's short-term economic outlook.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: France.pdf

Saudi Arabia

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its country risk rating for Saudi Arabia amid weak employment figures.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Saudi Arabia.pdf

Uruguay

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Uruguay's country risk rating as inflation reaches double digits.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Uruguay.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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