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April 2015

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Risk Update.

Labour data remain strong in the US, with the job market recovery on track to outlast the 1976-77 or 1983-84 episodes. However, other indicators point to a weak recovery. Forecasts for Q1 growth have been downgraded by most analysts; and expectations of interest rate rises have moderated. While the timing of the US Federal Reserve’s first rate rise is uncertain, markets are expecting a slower series of rises out to end-2016.

Headwinds outweigh tailwinds in the global economy. In Europe, the likelihood of a Greek exit from the single currency appears to be increasing. Although the potential for contagion is significantly lower than just a year ago, pressures could increase on Spain, Portugal and Italy. Meanwhile, the security situation in Ukraine and across a widening area of the Middle East remains in a deteriorating state, with Libya, Iraq, Syria and Yemen mired in civil war, and Iran and Saudi Arabia heavily involved. Economic negatives include commodity prices for emerging economies and deflation in the euro zone.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.



Belgium

Growth expected in Q1 2015 and the year as a whole.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Belgium.pdf

Chile

Minor corruption allegations have dogged the political class.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Chile.pdf

Indonesia

Imminent US policy rate hikes are a key risk factor.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Indonesia.pdf


To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local D&B Office.

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