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July 2016

Country Risk Rating Alert

D&B’s Country Risk Indicator provides a comparative, cross-border assessment of the risk of doing business in a country and encapsulates the risk that country-wide factors pose to the predictability of export payments and investment returns over a time horizon of two years.

Country Risk Outlook Trend Changes Scoring

Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight Snapshot Reports now provide greater visibility of potential upcoming outlook trend changes for each country. This enables us to foreground any changes to the outlook trend by referring to them explicitly in the headlines and key developments sections of the reports, and explaining the underlying reasons for the change in rating outlook.

This is a powerful refinement and – alongside the Country Risk Ratings – provides our customers with even greater visibility of the current and future situations across 132 countries.

Shown below are our Risk Rating Changes recently published in the latest edition of our International Risk & Payment Review Journal.

What You Need To Know:

Which Countries have been Upgraded (risk level has improved):

Australia

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Australia's country risk rating due to improving short-term economic conditions, but political instability may disrupt business operations.

Which Countries have been Downgraded (risk level has deteriorated):

Egypt

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Egypt's country risk rating amid increased threats to political stability and persistent economic weaknesses.

United Kingdom

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades the UK's country risk rating as the EU membership referendum outcome creates immense levels of uncertainty.

Uruguay

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Uruguay's country risk rating as the economy shrinks, pushing the country into a technical recession.

Outlook Trend Changes

Albania

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for Albania as the political opposition resists reforms to the judiciary, intended to break links between politicians and judges.

Austria

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades its rating outlook for Austria following the far-right candidate's defeat in the presidential election, albeit by a very narrow margin.

Bangladesh

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for Bangladesh, as possible tax hikes increase economic downside risk, trigger more tax evasion and decrease business development.

Denmark

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for Denmark as euro-zone monetary policy causes upward pressure on the krone and uncertainty that may harm consumption.

Georgia

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades its rating outlook for Georgia on the back of positive economic and trade developments, particularly the prospect of a free-trade agreement with China.

Jordan

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades its rating outlook for Jordan following a terrorist attack, although we do not expect this will herald further sustained violence.

Pakistan

Dun & Bradstreet upgrades its rating outlook for Pakistan amid economic progress, with corporate tax rates also set to fall.

Improving

Stable

Deteriorating

Tulosta

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