February 2016

Country Risk Rating Alert

D&B’s Country Risk Indicator provides a comparative, cross-border assessment of the risk of doing business in a country and encapsulates the risk that country-wide factors pose to the predictability of export payments and investment returns over a time horizon of two years.

Country Risk Outlook Trend Changes Scoring

Dun & Bradstreet’s Country Insight Snapshot Reports now provide greater visibility of potential upcoming outlook trend changes for each country. This enables us to foreground any changes to the outlook trend by referring to them explicitly in the headlines and key developments sections of the reports, and explaining the underlying reasons for the change in rating outlook.

This is a powerful refinement and – alongside the Country Risk Ratings – provides our customers with even greater visibility of the current and future situations across 132 countries.

Shown below are our Risk Rating Changes recently published in the latest edition of our International Risk & Payment Review Journal.

What You Need To Know:

Which Countries have been Upgraded (risk level has improved):


Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Namibia's country risk rating amid a mining-led acceleration in growth and greater political stability.


Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Romania’s country risk rating due to the prospect of greater political stability in 2016, and potentially longer should the current anti-corruption spirit endure.

Which Countries have been Downgraded (risk level has deteriorated):

Trinidad &Tobago

Dun & Bradstreet downgrades Trinidad and Tobago's country risk rating as the economy contracts due to the collapse in hydrocarbon prices.

Outlook Trend Changes


Dun & Bradstreet downgrades the rating outlook as the authorities opt for import controls over devaluation in response to the chronic shortage of FX



Dun & Bradstreet upgrades Iraq's rating outlook following a strategic victory against IS and the bottoming out of the oil price fall.

Papua New Guinea


Dun & Bradstreet downgrades the rating outlook as negative external factors, including lower international commodity prices and a slowing Chinese economy, weaken growth.


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