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February 2015

Country Risk Rating Alert

D&B’s Country Risk Indicator provides a comparative, cross-border assessment of the risk of doing business in a country and encapsulates the risk that country-wide factors pose to the predictability of export payments and investment returns over a time horizon of two years.

Shown below are our Risk Rating Changes recently published in the latest edition of our International Risk & Payment Review Journal (pdf).

What You Need To Know:

Which Countries have been Downgraded (risk level has deteriorated):

Bahrain

D&B has downgraded Bahrain’s country risk rating due to the major threat to the already weak economy from the falling oil price, although Saudi Arabia is likely to provide support.

Belarus

D&B has downgraded Belarus’ country risk rating following recent negative developments driven mostly by fallout from the economic difficulties faced by Russia. Any commercial dealings should be conducted with caution.

Brazil

D&B has downgraded Brazil's country risk rating amid a weakening in near-term growth prospects, a deteriorating external position and a business environment constrained by structural deficiencies.

Nigeria

D&B has downgraded Nigeria's risk rating as insecurity risk heightens and the macroeconomic performance slips, precipitated by external and domestic challenges.

Ururguay

D&B has downgraded Uruguay's country risk rating due to sluggish growth prospects and an uncertain global economic outlook. The new government also needs to reduce inflation and lower the deficit.

Which Countries have been Upgraded (risk level has improved):

Egypt

D&B has upgraded Egypt's country risk rating following strong growth in the second half of 2014, a loosening of economic policy, and the positive effect of low oil prices on the current account

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