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September 2017

Country Risk Update

Welcome to the latest issue of D&B's Country Insight Update.

Global growth momentum continues to gain traction, with the US now eight years into its recovery from the recession that followed the global financial crisis – its third-longest expansion since 1945. Importantly, other economies, including the eurozone, Japan and China, are all contributing to the more positive outlook. However, global growth remains muted when compared to the pre-2008 crisis years: we are forecasting real GDP growth of 2.9% in 2017, compared with an annual average of 4.2% from 2003 to 2007.

With unemployment levels falling and inflationary pressure remaining muted, undermining the ‘Phillips curve’ theory of their inverse relationship, the world’s central bankers met at Jackson Hole in the US in August. The focus was on how to unwind the extraordinary monetary experiment implemented in response to the 2007-08 financial crisis. Positively, co-ordination among central bankers appears to be increasing, which should reduce the potential for policy missteps as interest rates rise and central banks reduce their bloated balance sheets. We remain concerned that political intervention could add to the pressure around policy mistakes and raise risks of the global economy returning to recession

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

This complimentary newsletter from D&B's Country Insight Services group has been put together by their team of experts using the most up-to-date information to provide a snapshot of the latest macro market risk situation, and provides an excellent overview for those exposed to cross-border credit or investment risks.

D&B Country Insight Snapshots

Designed with the help of our customers these reports build on the key areas assessed by 'D&B's Country Insight Model' and deliver a perfect balance between mitigating risk exposure and providing insight into new opportunities.

Peru

The government declares a state of emergency as labour unrest escalates.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Peru.pdf

Switzerland

Full order books in manufacturing and services indicate a strong end to the year.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Switzerland.pdf

Thailand

Economic performance continues to improve at a modest pace.
Read D&B Country Insight Snapshot: Thailand.pdf

To learn more about how these improvements have been designed to meet your needs when trading overseas, please use the contact details below.

Looking For Different Countries?

D&B Country Insight Services provides analysis on over 130 countries worldwide and its products are available for purchase online by D&B subscribers.

If you wish to order reports using your D&B subscription please click on the link and select the country/region in which you are registered as a D&B subscriber.

Non-D&B subscribers wishing to order reports please contact Customer Services at your local Bisnode D&B Office.

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